As Jagan Mohan Reddy’s government has decided to form new districts in the state on the basis of the parliamentary segments, many people and politicians already started to calculate the equations and the change it brings in the state politics. Here is a brief analysis of the effect that this decision brings on the prominent parties in the state.
YSRCP: The ruling party is going to be the most benefited party as this new district formation phenomenon can establish a psychological feeling in people that they have been given much importance regionally. Also, it would be easier for them to administer and they can affect the vote bank of the main opposition TDP. If the strong zones of TDP are placed under the new parliamentary segments, it will be a huge blow for TDP as they would find it difficult to make an impact at the district level politics. Already the TDP is in a very derailed state when it comes to parliamentary voting.
TDP: TDP is still in dilemma about this issue as the same decision in Telangana worked very well for the opposition as well as for the people. If they want to oppose this decision, they should have a valid reason and reliable logic. It is clear that YSRCP will definitely try to influence the areas where TDP holds strong grounds. If Krishna District gets divided into two, it will be an irreplaceable loss to TDP. In many parliamentary segments, the ‘Kamma Vote Bank’ gets affected and they have to leave their hopes on the districts with the more tribal population as well.
BJP & Janasena: This alliance may have considerable benefits along with the YSRCP. They can find an opportunity to strengthen their base by focussing on a particular region. Pawan Kalyan has a vast fan following all over the state and the areas where BJP supporters, as well as Pawan followers, intersect can be a great venue for the two parties to make an impact and they can possibly take over the region as well. BJP will have some trouble with Tirupati, Araku, Bapatla where Tribals, SC, and ST community people will form the majority but the presence of Pawan Kalyan will do a world of good in the remaining areas given the ‘Kapu’ scenario.
Coming to the communists, they will say neutral as the evolution of Janasena and BJP and Janasena has already started to hinder their following, and of course, the ruling party won’t let them grow any further. Considering some internal factors CPI may support this decision where CPM will look to add their voice to any party that opposes this decision.