The corona virus proliferated in India and apparently no signs of it ever decreasing has caused fear and turmoil among the citizens. Many started comparing lockdown in March with that of June ranging from 100’s to lakhs of cases in this due course of time.
However, researchers from central health department predict that the covid-19 will diminsh in India by mid-September. They came to this conclusion by analyzing the mathematical model.
Now, most of the new cases reported in the country are all in recovery stage. The analysis was published in the online journal Epidemiology International. Dr Anil Kumar, deputy director general of the health department, and Rupali Roy, deputy assistant director in the division of department of leprosy, said about the prediction.
Using the Bailey International Model Corona calculations and analysis, the scientists claim that the total number of cases in the country at present is 236657. So the number of active cases are 115942, which indicates that recovery cases of 4773 are more than active cases and the number of active cases are markedly reducing that would go down to zero by mid September.
Covid-19 entered in India on March 2 and Ten days later, the cases continued to rise. India now ranks third in the list of new cases in the world, behind Brazil and the US. By the end of June, the new cases are likely to increase. However, India is likely to battle out corona if there are more recoveries. Both the central and state governments are striving hard to improve the same.